Showing posts with label investment. Show all posts
Showing posts with label investment. Show all posts

Monday, December 29, 2008

Trusting a stranger to trust a stranger.

The infamous Bernie Madoff. So much has been said and written about him since the tale of his bilking both private and institutional investors hit the scene that I nearly didn't write this entry. But isn't it worth saying that Madoff can - inadvertently of course - teach us something?

-The appealing culture of "my word is my bond" can be a trap. We like to believe that we can, through intuition and experience, determine that someone is good, honest, skilled, and trustworthy. Even today we often make deals on a handshake. The list of institutions, organizations and wealthy individuals that dealt with Madoff is troubling in part because each and every one of them wrongly depended on either their own judgment or someone else's, then entrusted Madoff with their money. It's hard to imagine completely abandoning our own intuition, but in the words that Ronald Reagan made immortal, "Trust, but verify." And certainly don't outsource the job. Don't trust a stranger to trust a stranger. Ever.

-And the Securities and Exchange Commission?? That's even worse because the SEC supposedly knows and cares about what it's regulating. Right? But the SEC gave Madoff a pass after a recent investigation of his operation. The jury (and there should be one, eh?) is still out on this, but the word negligence is too mild, and the word criminal may be just a starting point. Just saying. Sadly, here it is again: we can't trust strangers to take care of us, and apparently that includes the SEC.

-Little-known and poorly understood financial constructs (like Madoff's hedge fund) are dangerous investments, even if you're Steven Spielberg or an international bank. Abstruse mechanisms are sometimes that way for a reason. It's easy to get stupid in the search for way-better-than-average results, whether in love, finance, beauty, sex, or other matters close to the human heart.

-There must be other Madoffs out there. I hope I'm way off base on this, but suspect we'll uncover other investment frauds during the next challenging couple of years.

Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Investment advice... anyone??!

[caption id="attachment_284" align="alignnone" width="300" caption="Pulling together a clever game plan is taking awhile."]Pulling together a clever game plan is taking awhile.[/caption]

Step 1: I decided to look over my investments. Being thoroughly up-to-date, I have everything accessible online. Being thoroughly a coward, I hadn't looked at any of it in... oh, shall we just say, quite a while.

Step 2: Returning from the kitchen, now with a paper bag into which I expect to breathe for some time, I sat down to think. I thought about simplicity. I thought about how much I enjoy my work, and wondered if I will still enjoy it when I am 86.

Step 3: I realized I don't like simplicity all that much. No, I needed facts. An action plan. And thus I began my research.

Step 4: My financial advisor, whom I trust, said it's hard to predict what will happen next and how long recovery will take. NOT GOOD. Like a student seeking her guru, I continued my search.

Step 5: I assumed the major investing publications would help out. What sectors are good? What kind of a time window is needed to recover while staying largely in equities? Should I sell my jewelry on the streets of Springfield? I hoped to find the answers to these and more deep questions.

Step 6: "The answers" I have found

Big Oil: We told you so.

If you can learn from the mistakes of others, now is a great time to be an investor.

Dow 20,000 or 5,000? (Author doesn't know)

I've also learned that I should: use Quicken, keep putting lots of money in my retirement plan (kind of like dumping sand into a big wet hole you've dug on the beach, but okay), and look at exciting vehicles such as whole life insurance (who needs ACCESS to the money when you know it's somewhere out there?)

Step 7: What? I'm taking a nap now. Let me know when I should wake up.